XXUANTIFY
Systems tested

Supertrend on Ethereum: $1,000 → $50,422, and the catch

Since 2017, Supertrend would have turned $1,000 into $50,422 on Ethereum.

Supertrend.

A line that follows the price, a set distance away, measured in normal daily moves.

It's built into almost every charting app.

The rules

Line. Three times the 10-day average daily move, away from the middle of each candle. It only moves with the trend.

In. The close crosses above the line: buy, with the whole account. Below it: sell, and go short.

Nothing else. No other stop. The line is the stop.

Daily candles · Aug 2017 – Nov 2026 · fees 0.1% a trade included

What we found

$1,000 on ETH, 2017
$50,422
Just holding
+581%
Beat just holding, all 29 markets
5 of 29
Smaller worst drop than holding
7 of 29

Can we make it better?

We wrote down 19 changes before testing, and picked the one that did best on the first 70% of each market's history, across all 29: long only.

Then the real test: ETH after Feb 2024, data it never saw.

The original rules
−8%
Long only
+17%
Just holding
−10%
It held up on 18 of 29 markets.
Free account

The full test

Every market, the whole period against just holding, and after the cut: the original, the change, holding. Plus all 19 changes.

Sign in free to see all 29 markets and all 19 changes. Just your email, no card.

See the full test →

A setup is a starting point, not a verdict.

Other candles, stops, filters, your own coin: test every change on real data, before you risk a cent.

Test your own version

Past results, measured on real data with fees included. No promise of future returns. This is not investment advice.

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