XXUANTIFY
Systems tested

The 10-month rule on TRON: $1,000 → $13,672, and the catch

The 10-month rule turned $1,000 into $13,672 on TRON.

2007.

Fund manager Meb Faber wrote a paper with one simple rule.

Check once a month. That's all.

The rules

Check. Once a month, is the close above the average of the last 10 monthly closes?

In or out. If it's above, be in with the whole account. If it's below, sell everything and sit in cash.

Nothing else. No stop, no shorts.

Daily candles · Jun 2018 – Nov 2026 · fees 0.1% a trade included

What we found

$1,000 on TRX, 2018
$13,672
Just holding
+555%
Without its biggest trade
+187%
Beat just holding, all 29 markets
6 of 29
Smaller worst drop than holding
28 of 29

Can we make it better?

We wrote down 18 changes before testing, and picked the one that did best on the first 70% of each market's history, across all 29: half in when below.

Then the real test: TRX after May 2024, data it never saw.

The original rules
+122%
Half in when below
+140%
Just holding
+158%
It held up on 9 of 29 markets.
Free account

The full test

Every market, the whole period against just holding, and after the cut: the original, the change, holding. Plus all 18 changes.

Sign in free to see all 29 markets and all 18 changes. Just your email, no card.

See the full test →

A setup is a starting point, not a verdict.

Other candles, stops, filters, your own coin: test every change on real data, before you risk a cent.

Test your own version

Past results, measured on real data with fees included. No promise of future returns. This is not investment advice.

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